Category: Golf
Open Golf – End of day one
Day one went a bit better than I expected TBH. The weather was great but we had quite a few golfers complaining about the pin set up on greens that were described as ‘Glass’. This meant the course was as tough as ever, even without the weather playing a hand. The early starters seemed to get the rub of the green and the later starters were the most vocal complainers. It would seem sensible to use that knowledge today.
Surprise …
Open Golf stats
Fair weather greets us for the Open this year, that’s unusual! But this may make the course a little less random this year.
Therefore, from a trading perspective, I’m less inclined to find a big priced winner this year. Links golf on a difficult course can be notoriously difficult, but when the weather is sweet and the wind calm, skill comes more to the forefront.
Winning a major requires a bit of luck however and also requires a very different
…
US Open Golf – The cut(ish)
Day two at the US Open ended up turning into Day 1.5 when play was suspended because of light at about 20:30 local time with 68 players still to complete round two. So we have have not quite reached the cut. For anybody in before the off, it’s probably worth tidying up now if you are doing other stuff this afternoon. Or else you can keep things going till the last possible moment until the actual cut.
A much more …
US Open Golf day one
Weather did have an effect on the day but not as dramatic as I may have hoped for, conditions where generally quite good. The ground staff have done an excellent job it seems. Still trying not to laugh at the ‘flags’ though!
Woods got off to an indifferent start, but the top of the leaderboard took advantage of that to establish a lead. The front of the book generally slipped, mainly thanks to Woods. But no real contenders came from …
US Open Golf at Merion – Nice set up
There are four hours left to the official start of the US Open but whether they start on time or finish a full session today very much depends on what happens with the appalling weather at Merion.
You often see the British Open throwing up some challenging conditions, but I’m not sure I have seen much worse than those at Merion so far this week. Merion received six inches of rain between last Friday and Monday and the forecast indicates …
Spot the ‘greensider’ competition
Nipped up the road to Wentworth last Sunday for the BMW PGA Championships.
I reckon you have your next golf star laid out in front of you in the form of Matteo Manassero. Only 20, he is playing beyond his years already and I reckon he could have an impact in a major sooner rather than later. He has four tour wins now and he is already being backed in for both Open championships. One to watch.
I went …
BMW PGA – Wentworth – The Cut
List of positive movers at the cut, returns to £10 stakes. The really bad weather on Thursday and Friday put paid to a host of contenders chances so this has been very beneficial for people further down the field at the start. Weather forecast is good today and tomorrow so I would imagine some of the higher ranked players will re-assert there authority on the tournament.
I’m busy on other sports today but will be heading over to Wentworth for …
BMW PGA Golf – Laying Luke
Not the biggest turnover Golf tournament on the calendar from a matched bet turnover perspective, but the nearest one to home!
So this week, I’ve been popping back and forth to Wentworth to keep an eye on proceedings in the morning. It’s not too far from me so I can do the school run and then divert up the M3 to the golf course.
I nipped along for the first time on Wednesday for the Pro-AM day. I used the …
US Masters at the cut
Well that all worked out OK in the end.
Woods threatened to spoil the party, but a bad run starting on the turn saw him slip back in the standings, but he is still favourite. He touched a low of 2.12 before finishing the day at a more realistic 3.85. In and around Woods familiar faces from day one held there out but predictable Garcia fell away.
Lots of contenders still left in the contest and quite a bit could …
US Masters movers – Day One
A full list of movers is available by clicking on this link.
Marc Leishman was the suprise mover on day one and came in from 720 to 65 returning £100.77 on a £10 stake. Plenty of other movers from the hundreds to the top of the leaderboard including David Lynn whose 2nd in the US PGA meant he was surprised to realise he had qualified for the Masters. A pretty good round for a Masters rookie. The market however …
Time to make a mess of the garden – The US Masters
We are final at the first major of the year. I’m already active in the Masters market trying to establish a position before the first player tees off.
I like the masters because over the years I have collected a ton of stats on the course. This gives me a good guide as to when to trade out of a position. You can do this on most courses, but because the Masters is at the same course every year it …
Houston Open Golf – Best trades
This is proving a very useful warm up event for me this year, ahead of my first major effort at the US Masters in Augusta.
The main feature of the tournament so far is the continued stuttering start to 2013, of Rory McIlory. He only just made the cut and his priced has slipped from 10’s at the off to 46’s. Thanks in part to McIlroy’s loss of form and some great performances further down the field this has been …
Warming up
That’s me, not the weather. Though it is a sunny day outside, so I would imagine that will give a range of sports a decent chance of going ahead this weekend.
Now we are in the, alleged, spring of the northern hemisphere I’ve started looking at events that I will trade in the coming months. This involves brushing up my research data on them to make sure I am prepared. When the evening racing starts I’ll be trading all the …
Miracle of Medinah – Europe win the Ryder Cup
Well, we did think it would be close, but after the first day or so it really looked like an uphill battle for Europe. In the end it was one of the closest most remarkable Ryder Cup’s yet played.
Thanks to some wonderful golf from both sides we ended up with an amazing spectacle, much better than you could have imagined. More remarkably, Europe completed an amazing turnaround to bring the Ryder Cup back to Europe, again. Who would have …
Trading the Ryder Cup Golf
Looking forward to the Ryder cup this weekend. Nothing like a bit of Patrotism to spice up a sporting event!
I did a full write up on the Ryder Cup last time around but have been too busy to do so this year. One thing I remember really well from th 2008 Ryder cup was how ‘the tie’ played out in a competitive competition.
This year looks very competitive, though I was surprised to see home advantage priced in as …
US PGA – The cut
Now that’s more like it!
Tiger Woods is still playing well and in contention, things would be better without that. But on day two a number of players came in from the cold to put in some good rounds and still themselves near the top of the leaderboard and much shorter in odds. We have the weather to thank, almost an inch of rain fell overnight and strong winds blowing in from the sea made the course incredibly tough. So …
US PGA movers
We are suffering from Woods form at the moment. The last two majors have seem a resurgent Woods bottle down the front of the market and that’s impacted our best scenario in the Golf. The weather has been favourable this year as well. Still, here are the best trades from yesterday to £10 stakes, slim pickings.
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano – 780 to 80 – £87.5
Gary Woodland – 370 to 55 – £57.27
Alex Noren – 260 to 40 – £55…
US PGA Golf
I’m currently working a few positions into this market.
I like the US tournaments because you can benefit from decent liquidity in the run up to the start without having to get up a ridiculous O’clock in the morning.
No major movers at the moment, Lee Westwood has drifted a bit. Rory McIlroy looks a little short to me. OK he has an incentive to win, but his form has been a little erratic since his first major. It’s not …
Open Golf – The cut
Only fifteen players continued to be positives as we reached the cut. But the biggy was a big biggy with Brandt Snedeker coming in from 300 to just 6. This would have netted you a whopping profit of £490 for a £10 stake. Of course your other option was to lay any of the other players outside of this 15 for a profit, your choice. I prefer to find the former.
I was headed for a nice profit till Woods …
The Open – Start of day two
Negative movers outnumbered positive movers by 82 to 30. Full list of positive and negative movers on the forum: –
https://www.betangel.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=8&t=6420&p=50704#p50704
Generally a lacklustre day from a trading perspective. I like some fireworks, but generally we have had some movers up, some down, but generally a firming at the front of the field. Which is exactly what I don’t like!
Most of this was caused by two key factors. The weather was better than forecast and the conditions for links …
The Open Championship golf
It took me a while to see the appeal of Golf as a betting sport. But over time I’ve learnt to enjoy getting stuck into the big Golf tournaments. This week we have the grand daddy of the lot, the Open Championship, being held this year at Royal Lytham and St Annes Golf club.
The thing that really caught my eye was the large price of winners on a lot of tournaments, especially the highly competitive and tricky majors. The …
The camera never lies?
I stumbled upon an interesting article about the Euro 2012 championships: –
How TV Lied To You During Euro 2012 – https://deadspin.com/5923264/sorry-mario-balotelli-didnt-really-make-this-german-fan-cry-how-tv-lied-to-you-during-euro-2012
I’ve always had a healthy mistrust of what you see on TV. It spawned from some very odd results and betting on Reality TV shows many years ago. Careful editing and production can show up a story that isn’t, in reality, being played out. The real scandal followed though when it turned out insiders where betting on the …
15th Major for Woods?
Tiger Woods got of to a steady start yesterday on the first day of the US Open in his quest for a 15th major. The market has been shortening Woods for tournaments recently and responded by pulling in his price from 9’s to 3.95. Surprise leader is Micheal Thomson who has come in from 690 to 30’s after posting a four under on the first round, don’t you just love golf! Conditions were described as ‘testing’ and this has caused …
Wells Fargo golf – Best trades
Big news is that Tiger didn’t make the cut. Tiger went off at 12’s behind the favouite McIlroy and made par but that wasn’t good enough. Going into day three McIlroy is four shots off the leader Nick Watney. So far the tournament leaderboard is stuffed fulled of decent moves from further back in the starting field. Here is a selection, returns to a £10 level stake: –
Webb Simpson – 32 to 4.4 – £62.73
Nick Watney – 70 …
2012 Masters day three
That all turned out pretty well in the end.
Woods slump on the second round help move me into a considerable profit. This isn’t because of any position on Woods, more the impact of Woods sliding from short odds to being out of contention; this shortens up the rest of the field. It needed something like this as McIlroy and Westwood are certainly in the frame and Mickelson also shaped up a challenge. That was netted off with some good …
2012 US Masters day two
As predicted the McIlroy / Woods battle didn’t really take off on the first day. Henrik Stenson looked like he was going to create some waves but equalled the worst ever 18th with a snowman (an 8). This was a real shame because he was pulling off such a great move that the green on him alone was worth a fortune, if I had traded out, but I didn’t! I went back and reviewed his round and he had a …
2012 US Masters
I’ve been busy tracking the Golf markets since 2004 and the first major of the year is good place to start the Golf trading season proper.
The thing I like about Masters is its on more or less the same course each year, save amendments and pin positions, with the same sort of characteristics and foibles. There is lots of data as to how each hole plays and where the tough and easy parts of the course are. So that …
US PGA Golf
Positive movers from the US PGA from open to the close of day one. Some big movers in there delivered a lot of profit on day one. It’s been a busy day in Atlanta:-
https://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/golf/14499302.stm
Steve Stricker – 27 to 3.7
Adam Scott – 29 to 23
Bill Haas – 150 to 48
Simon Dyson – 170 to 65
Jerry Kelly – 1000 to 65
Matteo Manassero – 250 to 65
Davis Love III – 190 to 65
Trevor Immelman …
Getting better at Golf
In real life and on the markets!
Out with my son again this morning who got his first par today and I managed to get round the whole nine holes on par. Haven’t done that for a few years, one birdie, one bogey. I’m also getting better at understanding the golf markets. It’s taken a few years but I am finally getting under the skin on the markets. It’s proved pretty interesting and it’s also been a bit of a …
Good approach
Looks like it will be the last day before the glorious weather breaks in the UK so went out to play some Golf with my son this morning.
A good approach on the seventh left me in the middle of the green but with a tricky put for an birdie. Almost the perfect put, but the ball stopped just short of falling in the cup. No amount of stomping on the green would make it fall in, so I had …
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