0-0 Continued…
Well the two key matches I was looking at worked pretty well in the end but the other ‘deserved’ 0-0 at half time ended up 3-0 to the home team. This illustrates a key point.
With any in-play market you are hostage to what happens during the event. If you take a rigid approach to the underlying event you can’t really hope to out perform the statistics that can be modelled in the market.
In yesterdays match Joey O’Brian was booked in the 61st minute. Four minutes later he got his second booking and West Ham had another player booked as well. One minute later Reading scored and West Ham were well on the back foot. West Ham ended up having two players sent off and conceded more fouls than Reading. Basically, they lost it. You could only see that during that five minute spell in which it actually happened. If you had any positions open on the match, that five minutes spell should have forced you to radically re-asses your position.
Hopefully that’s shown you why keeping an eye on an event in-play will help you outperform those that don’t.
- Where it all started to go wrong for West Ham
Category: Football trading strategies
