Who scores first in a football match?

10/09/2011 | By More

When trading football, whatever strategy you use, it tends to gravitate to the key question, who scores first? (You could add when to that as well!)

I first asked this question in the early 80’s and worked out how to calculte this and most likely time for a goal. I recently revisited some old material and transplated it to today’s markets so see if much had changed. Not a great deal has changed to be honest and the stats are still pretty relevant against today’s. Thanks to modern technology though, I have a much greater depth and perspective of a match, long before it has kicked off and while it is inplay.

So I have put up a poll today to see what perception people have of football statistics.

I have started with a simple question. If you backed a team at 2.00 to win, they have a (1/2.00) chance of winning the match, 50%. If you traded a match, you would benefit because when the home team scored first because you would be able to green up after a goal. So my question is: –

When a team is priced near 2.00 how often will they go on to score first?

Don’t forget that Bet Angel includes the wonderful multi market tool, Guardian and which allows you to trade multiple football matches all at once and the unique football profiling tool, Soccer Mystic.


Tags: , , , , , ,

Category: Football trading strategies

About the Author ()

I left a good job in the consumer technology industry to go a trade on Betfair for a living way back in June 2000. I've been here ever since pushing very boundaries of what's possible on betting exchanges and loved every minute of it.

Comments are closed.