US PGA Day one

08/08/2014 | By | Reply More

As predicted Rory got off to a steady start and is only one behind the leaders at Valhalla. But the surprise of the day came from Lee Westwood. If past performance is anything to go by then Westwood will not see this through. I’ve forgotten how many times he has been in contention early on for his first major only for it to slip away. He’s the modern Montgomerie.

Another surprise was the unexpected withdrawal of Matt Kuchar and Jason Dufner which would have benefited anybody back more than one runner. The withdrawals actually reduced the market by 3%.

Rory is only one shot behind the lead but has come into 3’s. The market is pricing a consistent performance and for the others to slip up, which seems reasonable. The weather is looking a bit dodgy so that could really mix things up from here. It seems to favour early tee times at the moment.  The market hasn’t really priced that in from what I can see, so that could provide some decent opportunities. All hinges on Rory now though because he is at such a short price. Any errors will see his price shoot out.

Positive movers on Day One, returns to £10 stakes: –

Rory McIlroy – 6 to 3.05 : £9.67
Rickie Fowler – 27 to 25 : £0.80
Henrik Stenson – 32 to 9.2 : £24.78
Jim Furyk – 40 to 17 : £13.53
Jason Day – 95 to 70 : £3.57
Lee Westwood – 100 to 18 : £45.56
Graham Delaet – 140 to 130 : £0.77
J.B. Holmes – 130 to 60 : £11.67
Ian Poulter – 150 to 75 : £10.00
Nick Watney – 230 to 200 : £1.50
Shane Lowry – 260 to 120 : £11.67
Geoff Ogilvy – 270 to 180 : £5.00
Jamie Donaldson – 320 to 210 : £5.24
Kevin Chappell – 350 to 55 : £53.64
Seung-Yul Noh – 440 to 200 : £12.00
Ryan Palmer – 470 to 50 : £84.00
Russell Henley – 450 to 330 : £3.64
Matt Jones – 500 to 210 : £13.81
Joost Luiten – 570 to 220 : £15.91
Kevin Streelman – 600 to 500 : £2.00
Rafael Cabrera-Bello – 640 to 500 : £2.80
Edoardo Molinari – 720 to 80 : £80.00
Cameron Tringale – 850 to 600 : £4.17
Danny Willett – 880 to 340 : £15.88
Bernd Wiesberger – 1000 to 380 : £16.32
Mikko Ilonen – 1000 to 170 : £48.82
Chris Wood – 1000 to 150 : £56.67
Alexander Levy – 1000 to 780 : £2.82
Jerry Kelly – 1000 to 290 : £24.48
Shawn Stefani – 1000 to 330 : £20.30

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Category: Golf

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I left a good job in the consumer technology industry to go a trade on Betfair for a living way back in June 2000. I've been here ever since pushing very boundaries of what's possible on betting exchanges and loved every minute of it.

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