An Ace is worth more than a point
When you read that statement it looks a little strange. How can one point be worth more than another? But statistics seem to show that’s true.
Over the last couple of years, I’ve been busy collecting data on a range of Tennis matches from the top level of how a match played, in games and sets, right down to individual points.
I’ve been carefully examining how one point affects another and spotted what seemed to be a bias on serving aces at Wimbledon. A quick scout around confirms that others have spotted the same bias too.
Basically, in the men’s singles an ace is worth around 1.04 points. It seems that when a male player hits an ace his confidence gets a shot in the arm and he is more likely to win the next point. The ladies also see a benefit as well but, lacking testosterone, it turns out that is only worth 1.01 points.
Both sound quite small, but even tiny variations can add up to huge variances in the final result. Especially from a trading perspective.
Category: Tennis, Trading strategies
