Saturday Soccer Stats

15/03/2014 | By | Reply More

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Hull v Man City

  • Hull have lost 4 of 6 home matches this season against the current top nine
  • Hull have been level at half-time in 7 of their last 9 home matches
  • Man City have won 4 of their last 5 away matches whilst scoring 14 times
  • 10 of Man City’s last 12 away wins have come after leading at half-time

Everton v Cardiff

  • Everton have lost only 1 of their last 22 home games as they’ve recorded 13 Win/Win doubles on the Half-Time/Full-Time market
  • Cardiff have lost 7 consecutive away matches including 6 by at least 2 clear goals
  • Cardiff have suffered 5 0-2 defeats on the road this season
  • 7 of Everton’s 11 home games against bottom-six teams since the start of last season have had at least 3 goals

Fulham v Newcastle

  • Fulham have won their last 4 home matches against Newcastle
  • 24 of Fulham’s 33 home matches since the start of last season have had at least 3 goals
  • Fulham have scored in 10 of 11 home games against middle-third teams since 2012/13 but they’ve lost 7 times, including 4 1-2 defeats
  • Newcastle have scored just 1 goal in the 6 matches the suspended Loic Remy has missed this season – in a 1-0 win against Fulham
  • 8 of Newcastle’s last 10 trips to bottom-six teams have had at least 3 goals

Southampton v Norwich

  • The 3 meetings between these teams since the start of last season have seen just 3 goals in total
  • 13 of Southampton’s last 16 home games against bottom-half teams have had fewer than 3 goals, with 10 being level at half-time
  • Southampton’s last 6 home wins against bottom-half teams have all been 1-0 or 2-0
  • Norwich have failed to score more than once in 14 consecutive games, with 11 matches being level at half-time
  • Only Stoke have a worse second-half record over their last 20 away games than Norwich

Aston Villa v Chelsea

  • Aston Villa have lost all 7 of their home games this season against the current top half
  • Chelsea are unbeaten in 14 games with 11 wins
  • Chelsea have conceded in 22 of their last 25 trips to bottom-half teams
  • 8 of the last 9 meetings between these teams have had at least 3 goals with 4 seeing 6 or more strikes
  • Aston Villa have conceded first in 11 of 14 home matches this season

Man Utd v Liverpool: See below for a full preview

Spurs v Arsenal

  • Spurs are unbeaten in this fixture in the last 5 seasons
  • 9 of the last 11 league meetings between these teams have had at least 3 goals
  • Arsenal have conceded in 6 of their last 7 away matches and Spurs have lost just 2 of 27 home matches since the start of last season when they’ve scored
  • Arsenal have won just 2 of 20 trips to top-six finishers in the previous 4 seasons and this term have lost all 3 visits to teams currently in the top six
  • 9 of Spurs’ last 11 home matches against top-six teams have seen both teams score

Premier League: Man Utd v Liverpool (Sun, 13:30)

Liverpool have been playing like potential champions recently so it would give Man Utd great pleasure to derail their challenge. While Liverpool have scored in all 11 league meetings with United since 2008/09 they have still lost at Old Trafford in each of the last four years.

The Champions have been fairly dire at home this season but they’ve played better in their last couple of matches (on the road) as they’ve been able to play close to their best XI. Liverpool have conceded more away goals this season than any team in the top 14 and they’ve won just one of their six trips to teams currently in the top eight whilst losing three times. In fact they’ve conceded at least twice in those five matches they failed to win and United have lost just five of 279 home games in the Premier League when they’ve scored two or more goals. At Anfield it would be hard not to back Liverpool in their current form, but they still fail to convince on the road, and with the pressure of being title contenders it looks worth backing Man Utd outright at 2.5 or taking the Draw No Bet option at 1.80.

United’s last game against one of the top four was a tedious 0-0 at Arsenal but with Liverpool’s instinct to attack we could see this game open up. 21 of Liverpool’s last 23 matches have had at least three goals, as have five of their six trips this season to the current top eight. Nine of the last 11 meetings between these teams have seen both sides score, with eight having at least three goals. While we don’t expect Liverpool to be able to keep a clean sheet it is also hard not to see them scoring, and United have had three or more goals in 16 of the 20 home matches they’ve conceded in since the start of last season with nine seeing at least four. Over 2.5 Goals is a generous looking 1.73 while Over 3.5 Goals is very tempting at 3.0

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Category: Football trading strategies

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I left a good job in the consumer technology industry to go a trade on Betfair for a living way back in June 2000. I've been here ever since pushing very boundaries of what's possible on betting exchanges and loved every minute of it.

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