Lessons from England vs San Marino

22/03/2013 | By | Reply More

When England played San Marino at Wembley last time I captured a bunch of data. I was aiming to try and understand the best way to approach matches at such short odds.

In hindsight, most of it was obvious but it was worth examining; after-all there are lots of very short prices out there this evening.

There isn’t much to say about matches like this, England should completely pummel San Marino, but England are England aren’t they?

At Wembley, despite the fact England struggled to break down San Marino, the match odds hardly moved. Of course, this was because it could have been inconceivable for England or any other team really for that matter not to win. The odds on San Marino didn’t change much either but shot out to 1000 once that first goal went in, hardly rocket science. Over on the correct score market it was any unquoted that attracted the majority of the volume and this was an interesting market to trade and that should be the same again today. All the unders & overs markets saw some decent activity but this was especially interesting at the higher end. So I suggest you check out those markets this evening if you are trading.  Correct score 2 markets don’t seem to be as active as the main markets for some reason.

I tend not to trade England markets or my favourite team, as it gets too emotional and stressful at times. I am hopefully tonight won’t exhibit those characteristics but with England you can never be sure can you? Memories are cast back to that moment in 1993 when San Marino actually took the lead!

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Category: Football trading strategies

About the Author ()

I left a good job in the consumer technology industry to go a trade on Betfair for a living way back in June 2000. I've been here ever since pushing very boundaries of what's possible on betting exchanges and loved every minute of it.

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