Meanwhile

01/07/2011 | By More

OK, I’m still digesting the news a bit. But while I do that, there is still some great sport on.

The two Wimbledon semi finals are priced around the same level, 1.58 for the favourite, but we have two different contests IMHO.

The head-to-heads tell a different tale: –

Djokovic should be favourite, sure, but Tsonga leads Djokovic 5-2 in head to heads. Though this is the first time they’ve met on grass.

Nadal should also easily be the favourite but looks better value at the same price. Murray has only managed four wins in 15 encounters with Nadal and lost in straight sets to Nadal at this stage last year, and again recently in the French Open semi-finals.

Patriotic fervour and money may be behind a longer Nadal price but it doesn’t look justified. Of course at 2.68 it’s not impossible for Murray to win either, IF the odds are correct. However it seems we have two different matches on our hands despite the similar odds.

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Category: Tennis

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I left a good job in the consumer technology industry to go a trade on Betfair for a living way back in June 2000. I've been here ever since pushing very boundaries of what's possible on betting exchanges and loved every minute of it.

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