Snooker loopy

16/04/2011 | By More

Although we rarely do much on snooker, in the outright markets the same rules as normal apply. Find a couple of guys at longish odds who, while they might not win, are likely to do well in the first couple of rounds and back-to-lay their championship odds. If we can plot the likely winners at each stage of the draw, there are profits to be made by trading in and trading out before the next round starts.

Current World Champ Neil Robertson’s opener, against China Open winner Judd Trump, is an interesting one, but it could go either way. However, should Robertson get through that encounter, his path looks much easier after that, so we should expect his price for the title – he’s currently 12.0 to defend his crown – to shorten a fair bit. It’s worth backing him now and laying off after the quarter-finals should he get that far.

Mark Selby’s another one who looks like he will cruise fairly comfortably through the first couple of rounds. He first plays debutant Jimmy Robertson and not until a potential quarter-final meeting with Ding Junhui does it look like the ‘Jester from Leicester’ will be tested. Back now at 7.0 on Betfair, lay off then.

As usual, Ronnie O’Sullivan, who is down to 10th in the rankings and available at 9.0, is too short given his form and state of mind. Lay all day at that price.

I also like the look of Joe Perry to beat ‘King of the Crucible’ Stephen Hendry in round one at 2.42. Joe has done well in the past here and I think value is with him.

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Category: Alternative markets

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