{"id":9611,"date":"2014-02-28T11:28:28","date_gmt":"2014-02-28T11:28:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.betangel.com\/blog_wp\/?p=9611"},"modified":"2014-03-01T05:25:37","modified_gmt":"2014-03-01T05:25:37","slug":"really-make-trading-decision","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/2014\/02\/28\/really-make-trading-decision\/","title":{"rendered":"How you really make (trading) decision"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px; line-height: 1.5em;\">If you haven&#8217;t seen this episode of Horizon it is worth a watch: &#8211;<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">It is titled, &#8216;How you really make decisions&#8217;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/iplayer\/episode\/b03wyr3c\/Horizon_20132014_How_You_Really_Make_Decisions\/\"><span style=\"font-size: 14px; line-height: 1.5em;\">https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/iplayer\/episode\/b03wyr3c\/Horizon_20132014_How_You_Really_Make_Decisions\/<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">I&#8217;ve used some of the examples in this episode in my courses from time to time.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">I became interested in sub-optimal behaviour when I started working out how to win the football pools. I figured that while there was an inbuilt edge against me in he market, most people wouldn&#8217;t use optimal behaviour to place their bets and that was going to be part of my edge.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">When I went into financial markets I found exactly the same thing. The stock market turned out to be a strange place, one where people are more likely to buy stuff the more expensive it gets and sell it when it gets cheaper. The opposite of what you would think.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">When I started teaching people to trade on exchanges I came across another strange characteristic. That is you can give a person detailed exact, specific steps to perform an action that will work. But they often still, or can&#8217;t, actually act on it. The human mind sure is a fascinating subject!<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/nrn\/journal\/v10\/n8\/images\/nrn2672-f2.jpg\" width=\"390\" height=\"305\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p id=\"pvc_stats_9611\" class=\"pvc_stats all  \" data-element-id=\"9611\" style=\"\"><i class=\"pvc-stats-icon medium\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" data-prefix=\"far\" data-icon=\"chart-bar\" role=\"img\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 512 512\" class=\"svg-inline--fa fa-chart-bar fa-w-16 fa-2x\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" d=\"M396.8 352h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V108.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v230.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm-192 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V140.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v198.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm96 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V204.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v134.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zM496 400H48V80c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16H16C7.16 64 0 71.16 0 80v336c0 17.67 14.33 32 32 32h464c8.84 0 16-7.16 16-16v-16c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16zm-387.2-48h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8v-70.4c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v70.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8z\" class=\"\"><\/path><\/svg><\/i> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" alt=\"Loading\" src=\"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/wp-content\/plugins\/page-views-count\/ajax-loader-2x.gif\" border=0 \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n\n<div class=\"twitter-share\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?via=betangel\" class=\"twitter-share-button\">Tweet<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>If you haven&#8217;t seen this episode of Horizon it is worth a watch: &#8211; It is titled, &#8216;How you really make decisions&#8217; https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/iplayer\/episode\/b03wyr3c\/Horizon_20132014_How_You_Really_Make_Decisions\/ I&#8217;ve used some of the examples in this episode in my courses from time to time. I became interested in sub-optimal behaviour when I started working out how to win the football [&hellip;]<\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p id=\"pvc_stats_9611\" class=\"pvc_stats all  \" data-element-id=\"9611\" style=\"\"><i class=\"pvc-stats-icon medium\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" data-prefix=\"far\" data-icon=\"chart-bar\" role=\"img\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 512 512\" class=\"svg-inline--fa fa-chart-bar fa-w-16 fa-2x\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" d=\"M396.8 352h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V108.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v230.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm-192 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V140.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v198.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm96 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V204.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v134.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zM496 400H48V80c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16H16C7.16 64 0 71.16 0 80v336c0 17.67 14.33 32 32 32h464c8.84 0 16-7.16 16-16v-16c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16zm-387.2-48h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8v-70.4c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v70.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8z\" class=\"\"><\/path><\/svg><\/i> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" alt=\"Loading\" src=\"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/wp-content\/plugins\/page-views-count\/ajax-loader-2x.gif\" border=0 \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1395],"tags":[1991,1992,716,68],"class_list":["post-9611","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-psychology-2","tag-decision","tag-mind","tag-psychology","tag-trading"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9611"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9611"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9611\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9620,"href":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9611\/revisions\/9620"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9611"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9611"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9611"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}