A quick review of how the FA Cup has traded so far this year. Pretty much the same as prior years TBH.<\/p>\n
In the third round Premier league teams were 96.84% of the market. Today that stands at 99.15%, I think the winner could perhaps come from the premier league this year! If you look at the movers from the third round you see a slightly clearer picture, but obviously a lot of that is down to the draw: –<\/p>\n
Man City 5.8 to 4.4
\nArsenal 10.5 to 6.6
\nChelsea 6.8 to 7
\nEverton 15 to 7.2
\nLiverpool 8.4 to 7.2
\nSouthampton 28 to 13.5
\nSunderland 70 to 34
\nSwansea 95 to 36
\nHull City 60 to 29
\nCardiff City 150 to 38
\nNottm Forest 230 to 70
\nBrighton 260 to 80
\nWigan 230 to 150
\nSheff Wed 440 to 130
\nSheff Utd 760 to 200
\nCharlton 260 to 210<\/p>\n
The fifth round draw helped Everton who came in from 9.40 to 7.20 and Man City who moved from 5.30 to 4.40. Chelsea drifted from 5.70 to 7.00 and Arsenal from 5.8 to 6.60. Hull’s favourable draw pulled them in from 50 to 29.<\/p>\n
The obvious trade here is on the basis that the matches are split. City and Chelsea account for 37% of the market but may not be at the end of the match, which starts at 17:15. You also have the vagaries of the draw, so the winner could be drawn against any of the remaining teams. We have a repeat performance on Sunday when Arsenal meet Liverpool.\u00a0Not 100% sure when the draw will be made but it will obviously significantly affect the FA Cup outright winner odds on Brighton or Hull with that match on a Monday.<\/p>\n
But in general on the FA Cup it’s business as usual at the moment.<\/p>\n
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