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<\/p>\nI wont be actively trading the international friendlies this evening. There are many things I can predict about how a football match will pan out, but doing this on friendlies is much harder and a bit more random. Basically I don\u2019t know if I have an edge.<\/p>\n
Friendlies, especially like those tonight, are for managers to try a few things out. Shove some fresh talent onto the pitch and see how they perform. Change shape, try a few tactics and not be too worried about the results.<\/p>\n
I like teams to have a specific imperative to win or to score or do something. If such a condition doesn’t exist, I think it makes it much harder to read how the match is likely to play out given any particular scenario. Therefore\u00a0I don\u2019t do friendlies! When I say don’t do, I mean I don’t get stuck into them or trade them in the normal manner.<\/p>\n
I can\u2019t offer any decent insight into these matches this evening. They are often difficult to price and have a lot of variables that you just can\u2019t take account of. So if you are playing in these matches I would recommend some speculative plays opposing the obvious. I\u2019ll be laying at short prices if I see an opportunity.<\/p>\n
But here is the great thing about sports markets, it\u2019s OK to say you haven\u2019t a clue! This is because just around the corner is another market where you can make a good judgement and that is the key to trying to profit from them.\u00a0Over the course of the year there are many 10,000\u2032s of events. So if you come across one where you can\u2019t make a reasoned judgement, Don\u2019t.\u00a0Wait for the time when you can because this is where you stand a chance of making a decent judgement and a profit! Another market will be along soon.<\/p>\n
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