{"id":8906,"date":"2013-09-21T12:10:59","date_gmt":"2013-09-21T11:10:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.betangel.com\/blog_wp\/?p=8906"},"modified":"2013-10-02T16:21:32","modified_gmt":"2013-10-02T15:21:32","slug":"manchester-derby-match-preview","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/2013\/09\/21\/manchester-derby-match-preview\/","title":{"rendered":"Manchester Derby – Match preview"},"content":{"rendered":"

Many thanks to our friends over at\u00a0Football Form Labs<\/a>\u00a0for this guest post, E&OE and all that. \u00a0Football\u00a0Form Lab<\/a>\u00a0is software that I use to help me spot patterns or trends in football matches. It can help you identify thousands of opportunities every week across over 40 different leagues. \u00a0It’s very detailed and that’s why I like it, so much information.\u00a0Form Labs is currently on offer and you can save 66% on a\u00a0Form Labs subscription<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Man City vs Man Utd – Match preview<\/strong><\/p>\n

The first Manchester derby of the season looks set to be an important battle, with city bragging rights the difference between first and second in the past two seasons. It\u2019ll also be the first derby for both managers and while David Moyes hasn\u2019t enjoyed much success at the other big clubs, his record over City is superb. Since 2007\/08, Moyes\u2019 Everton won nine of 12 league meetings with City, losing only twice.<\/span><\/p>\n

Man City have won three of the four league meetings between these teams in the past two seasons but they\u2019ve not had huge success in the home fixture. They\u2019ve W1-D1-L3 at home in the past five seasons and three times they failed to score. Their home record, as a whole, however, has been excellent in recent years. Since 2010\/11 they\u2019ve won five of nine home games against top-four finishers.<\/span><\/p>\n

Man Utd lost at Anfield in their last away game, but while they didn\u2019t create much they were rarely threatened after conceding an early goal. The champions have lost just two of their last 20 road games, and have W3-D3-L3 at top-four finishers in the past three seasons. On the balance of things, City look a touch too short and, with David Silva a major doubt, the value looks to be with the away side. Since joining City, they\u2019ve won 71% of matches with Silva compared to just half the games he\u2019s missed and <\/span>United look underrated at 2.06 on the Asian handicap +0.25.<\/b><\/p>\n

We wouldn\u2019t expect a particularly open game, however. Since 2004\/05, all 18 Everton\/Man City matches had fewer than four goals, with 13 having -2.5 strikes. Moreover, this fixture has had fewer than two goals in four of the past five seasons. City have had -2.5 goals in six of their nine home games against top-four finishers in the past three seasons and neither team has looked particularly fluid domestically under their new managers. Silva\u2019s likely absence again leads to an expectation of fewer goals with 39% of the matches he\u2019s missed since 2011\/12 having -1.5 goals and 56% having -2.5 strikes. <\/span>If this game is anything like the Liverpool\/Man Utd game a few weeks ago the Under 2.5 goals price of 2.05 will look generous come 4pm Sunday<\/b>.<\/span><\/p>\n

Wayne Rooney has looked particularly sharp in United\u2019s last two games and having scored in eight of his 17 starts in Manchester derbies he looks decent value to add to his tally. Six of the eight derbies he scored in, he netted the first goal of the match, and with the expectation of a low scoring game 9.0 looks a big price to be the first scorer.<\/b><\/p>\n

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Many thanks to our friends over at\u00a0Football Form Labs\u00a0for this guest post, E&OE and all that. \u00a0Football\u00a0Form Lab\u00a0is software that I use to help me spot patterns or trends in football matches. It can help you identify thousands of opportunities every week across over 40 different leagues. \u00a0It’s very detailed and that’s why I like […]<\/p>\n

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