{"id":8490,"date":"2013-06-28T16:39:31","date_gmt":"2013-06-28T15:39:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.betangel.com\/blog_wp\/?p=8490"},"modified":"2013-07-10T11:36:19","modified_gmt":"2013-07-10T10:36:19","slug":"an-ace-is-worth-more-than-a-point","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/2013\/06\/28\/an-ace-is-worth-more-than-a-point\/","title":{"rendered":"An Ace is worth more than a point"},"content":{"rendered":"

When you read that statement it looks a little strange. How can one point be worth more than another? But statistics seem to show that’s true.<\/p>\n

Over the last couple of years, I’ve been busy collecting data on a range of Tennis matches from the top level of how a match played, in games and sets, right down to individual points.<\/p>\n

I’ve been carefully examining how one point affects another and spotted what seemed to be a bias on serving aces at Wimbledon. A quick scout around confirms that others have spotted the same bias too.<\/p>\n

Basically, in the men’s singles an ace is worth around 1.04 points. It seems that when a male player hits an ace his confidence gets a shot in the arm and he is more likely to win the next point. The ladies also see a benefit as well but, \u00a0lacking testosterone, it turns out that is only worth 1.01 points.<\/p>\n

Both sound quite small, but even tiny variations can add up to huge variances in the final result. Especially from a trading perspective.<\/p>\n

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When you read that statement it looks a little strange. How can one point be worth more than another? But statistics seem to show that’s true. Over the last couple of years, I’ve been busy collecting data on a range of Tennis matches from the top level of how a match played, in games and […]<\/p>\n

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