{"id":8076,"date":"2013-04-26T11:21:45","date_gmt":"2013-04-26T10:21:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.betangel.com\/blog_wp\/?p=8076"},"modified":"2013-05-18T09:58:49","modified_gmt":"2013-05-18T08:58:49","slug":"a-fool-and-his-money-are-soon-parted","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/2013\/04\/26\/a-fool-and-his-money-are-soon-parted\/","title":{"rendered":"A fool and his money are soon parted"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&#8216;A fool and his money&#8217; It&#8217;s a classic phrase, but it always seems to ring endlessly true and never shall it be any different it seems.<\/p>\n<p>This post is about the case at Southwark Crown Court this week, involving the now infamous Elliot Short. I see others have picked up on this before I had the chance to write about it, but here is the link to the original article which was posted up on the forum at the start of the week: &#8211;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/news\/article-2313618\/Gambler-called-Betfair-king-conned-friends-600-000-bogus-betting-scam.html\">https:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/news\/article-2313618\/Gambler-called-Betfair-king-conned-friends-600-000-bogus-betting-scam.html<\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">I wonder how many times I will hear about some gambling scam where people have lost enormous amounts of money? It&#8217;s a real downer to keep hearing stories about people getting ripped off in gambling markets. Either by people exploiting the gullible or by the underlying sport itself. I think this explains why gambling markets are generally held in such low esteem. Over the years, I&#8217;ve found it very hard to get the message across what a wonderful opportunity betting exchanges have been. I blame these sorts of things for muddying the water. You also have the current issue that people who have never traded successfully are positioning themselves as experts or people are seeking to exploit the trading opportunity, rather than getting on and doing it, that isn&#8217;t helping matters. So even the best opportunity to profit from sports markets yet, can get horribly fudged.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">I feel sorry for on the wrong side of these scams. But it has to be said, it&#8217;s fairly obvious that if you are producing stellar returns on something, you just reinvest the money yourself. No need to seek outside involvement. I know that, because that is exactly what I and many others have done. I&#8217;ve never met a serious participant in the market who wouldn&#8217;t do the same. Take a look at my equity curve for this year. I took some time this week to re-base it to Jan 1st and measured it\u00a0as percentage return against the maximum exposure taken.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.betangel.com\/blog_wp\/2013\/04\/26\/a-fool-and-his-money-are-soon-parted\/24-04-2013-equity-curve-2\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-8080\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter  wp-image-8080\" alt=\"24-04-2013 Equity curve\" src=\"https:\/\/www.betangel.com\/blog_wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/24-04-2013-Equity-curve1-600x473.png\" width=\"480\" height=\"378\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/24-04-2013-Equity-curve1-600x473.png 600w, https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/24-04-2013-Equity-curve1-300x236.png 300w, https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/04\/24-04-2013-Equity-curve1.png 620w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 480px) 100vw, 480px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The key thing you should take away from this image is that even starting with small amounts, you can move to much bigger ones very quickly, if you have an edge. This is something fairly unique to sports markets. So if I start with a small amount of capital I don&#8217;t really need any more, I just compound what I have.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">More information is held within this image.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">From it you can see that I am unable to compounding all my earnings, else the graph would be exponential. The fact is, even if you have a decent track record it&#8217;s impossible to put that extra money to use because your &#8216;system&#8217; will collapse under the weight of your stakes. You become the market! The upshot of this is that sports markets are just not scalable enough to warrant raising funds to deploy in them. Fire up a spreadsheet and you will learn quickly that compounding small amounts rapidly at pretty much any positive percentage will mean it isn&#8217;t long before your average stake dwarfs what is sensibly available in the market. That&#8217;s all that&#8217;s happening in that graph. Look again at that graph for those alleged periods of draw-downs that &#8216;must&#8217; occur when you have such good upside. That said, this is more a comment on my trading style and its unfair to assume that others, especially newbies, could replicate this curve, but that&#8217;s just the upshot of years of hard work, nearly fourteen years now.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">So, there you go; I don&#8217;t believe, unless you are at an initial speculative phase, that you should ever need to raise funds to deploy in these markets. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betangel.com\/blog_wp\/2012\/03\/27\/a-question-of-scale-part-three\/\">I have talked about it before<\/a>\u00a0but it seems my quest to inform people is no further forward. I&#8217;ve even spoken to the press about obvious scams or issues, but I think they get more of a kick out of dramatising a court case, than stopping a scandal in the first place. Such is life, my quest continues&#8230;..<\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p id=\"pvc_stats_8076\" class=\"pvc_stats all  \" data-element-id=\"8076\" style=\"\"><i class=\"pvc-stats-icon medium\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" data-prefix=\"far\" data-icon=\"chart-bar\" role=\"img\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 512 512\" class=\"svg-inline--fa fa-chart-bar fa-w-16 fa-2x\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" d=\"M396.8 352h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V108.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v230.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm-192 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V140.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v198.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm96 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V204.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v134.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zM496 400H48V80c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16H16C7.16 64 0 71.16 0 80v336c0 17.67 14.33 32 32 32h464c8.84 0 16-7.16 16-16v-16c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16zm-387.2-48h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8v-70.4c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v70.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8z\" class=\"\"><\/path><\/svg><\/i> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" alt=\"Loading\" src=\"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/wp-content\/plugins\/page-views-count\/ajax-loader-2x.gif\" border=0 \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n\n<div class=\"twitter-share\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?via=betangel\" class=\"twitter-share-button\">Tweet<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8216;A fool and his money&#8217; It&#8217;s a classic phrase, but it always seems to ring endlessly true and never shall it be any different it seems. This post is about the case at Southwark Crown Court this week, involving the now infamous Elliot Short. I see others have picked up on this before I had [&hellip;]<\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p id=\"pvc_stats_8076\" class=\"pvc_stats all  \" data-element-id=\"8076\" style=\"\"><i class=\"pvc-stats-icon medium\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" data-prefix=\"far\" data-icon=\"chart-bar\" role=\"img\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 512 512\" class=\"svg-inline--fa fa-chart-bar fa-w-16 fa-2x\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" d=\"M396.8 352h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V108.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v230.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm-192 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V140.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v198.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm96 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V204.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v134.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zM496 400H48V80c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16H16C7.16 64 0 71.16 0 80v336c0 17.67 14.33 32 32 32h464c8.84 0 16-7.16 16-16v-16c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16zm-387.2-48h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8v-70.4c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v70.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8z\" class=\"\"><\/path><\/svg><\/i> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" alt=\"Loading\" src=\"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/wp-content\/plugins\/page-views-count\/ajax-loader-2x.gif\" border=0 \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1421],"tags":[18,1805,617,1806],"class_list":["post-8076","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general","tag-betfair","tag-elliot-short","tag-scam","tag-southwell-crown-court"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8076"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8076"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8076\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8086,"href":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8076\/revisions\/8086"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8076"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8076"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8076"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}