{"id":6068,"date":"2012-04-28T12:26:25","date_gmt":"2012-04-28T11:26:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.betangel.com\/blog_wp\/?p=6068"},"modified":"2012-04-28T12:26:25","modified_gmt":"2012-04-28T11:26:25","slug":"last-day-nerves-apathy-the-weather","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/2012\/04\/28\/last-day-nerves-apathy-the-weather\/","title":{"rendered":"Last day nerves, apathy & the weather"},"content":{"rendered":"

When we approach the end of season crunch games, when relegation or promotion can be decided on the last game, look out for shocks. Also, in the mid division stuff, where there is little to play for; also look to the outsider. It’s at moments like these that you can find value in the markets. Normal statistical analysis becomes much less reliable at these points.<\/p>\n

Look for early signs that a team that ‘has’ to do something is showing nerves. Throw in some regionally bad weather and this further enhances your chance of finding something. Today is a good day to do counter intuitive picks. That’s were I will be looking today.<\/p>\n

Good luck to all the teams that need a result today.<\/p>\n

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When we approach the end of season crunch games, when relegation or promotion can be decided on the last game, look out for shocks. Also, in the mid division stuff, where there is little to play for; also look to the outsider. It’s at moments like these that you can find value in the markets. […]<\/p>\n

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