{"id":4087,"date":"2011-06-27T16:29:44","date_gmt":"2011-06-27T15:29:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.betangel.com\/blog_wp\/?p=4087"},"modified":"2012-02-07T10:50:27","modified_gmt":"2012-02-07T10:50:27","slug":"feast-or-farce","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/2011\/06\/27\/feast-or-farce\/","title":{"rendered":"Feast or farce"},"content":{"rendered":"

Not difficult to choose what to do this afternoon. Yes there was some racing on but when end up with 15 minute gaps and one race at Pontefract had just two runners, though curiously this was the best race of the day for me.<\/p>\n

Over at Wimbledon there were quite a few decent matches and opportunties so it was this that held the main interest for me today. As a point of interest, if you want evidence that people are using models like Tennis Trader<\/a>, have a look at the following implied probability graph. The odds map perfectly onto the the points won or lost on serve, you can clearly see the ranges.<\/p>\n

There are 351 tick increments on Betfair, an average of 36.7 games at a Wimbledon match and hundreds of points in a match. If you can pinpoint where the odds should without an aid given those variables, you are a better man than I!<\/p>\n

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Not difficult to choose what to do this afternoon. Yes there was some racing on but when end up with 15 minute gaps and one race at Pontefract had just two runners, though curiously this was the best race of the day for me. Over at Wimbledon there were quite a few decent matches and […]<\/p>\n

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