Thought you may find this interesting. Here are the prices for the under 2.5 goal markets on the premiership tonight. In the first column you can see the prices that were listed on Betfair and in the second column you can see my prices. The difference between the two will tell you if the markets represent value or not. For example,\u00a0 in the Fulham match you can see that the markets have rated the chance of under 2.5 goals at 1.84, where I have valued the true odds at 1.78. This means that the market is overpriced this and it represents value. You can see that Wigan versus West Ham is spot on.<\/p>\n
I’ve studied football markets for a very long time and I can price the unders market very accurately, almost to 100% accuracy. So it just goes to show you that value still exists out there. Of course value doesn’t appear in one night it matures over hundreds or thousands of matches. So always bear that in mind when you seek value.<\/p>\n
| Fulham<\/td>\n | Hull<\/td>\n | \n 1.84<\/p>\n<\/td>\n | \n 1.78<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n |
| Man City<\/td>\n | Aston Villa<\/td>\n | \n 1.68<\/p>\n<\/td>\n | \n 1.7<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n |
| Newcastle<\/td>\n | Man Utd<\/td>\n | \n 2.04<\/p>\n<\/td>\n | \n 2.03<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n |
| Stoke<\/td>\n | Bolton<\/td>\n | \n 1.75<\/p>\n<\/td>\n | \n 1.71<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n |
| Spurs<\/td>\n | Middlesborough<\/td>\n | \n 1.92<\/p>\n<\/td>\n | \n 1.87<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n |
| Wigan<\/td>\n | West Ham<\/td>\n | \n 1.66<\/p>\n<\/td>\n | \n 1.66<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n |
| Blackburn<\/td>\n | Everton<\/td>\n | \n 1.63<\/p>\n<\/td>\n | \n 1.61<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n <\/div>\n |