{"id":2443,"date":"2010-07-11T07:30:30","date_gmt":"2010-07-11T06:30:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.betangel.com\/blog_wp\/?p=2443"},"modified":"2010-07-12T09:26:29","modified_gmt":"2010-07-12T08:26:29","slug":"going-dutch","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/2010\/07\/11\/going-dutch\/","title":{"rendered":"Going Dutch"},"content":{"rendered":"

This isn’t a pick! I think the Spanish have done a good job so far tactically and may test the Dutch defence in a way it hasn’t been tested so far this World Cup. This is a reference to what I will be aiming to do this afternoon. I have Dutchand German friends just round the corner from where I live, but as the German’s didn’t get to the final I will be going Dutch for the final. As I am unlikely to experience the thrill of watching England play for the greatest price there is in International football, so I may as well do it by proxy with a native supporter. It should be a fun afternoon.<\/p>\n

The match is priced at 2.20 goals with a 0.36 goal advantage to the Spanish. I think that’s fair given the progress of both teams so far. I would have expected the market to price closer to 2.00 goals so I wonder if the draw could be value at this level. If you look at the stats home advantage is worth 0.40 of a goal so that effectively means it’s an even match but Spain are playing at home. If you don’t believe that, then Spain would be a value lay.<\/p>\n

I won’t be trading the final as I will trying to get into the swing of things before the final.<\/p>\n

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This isn’t a pick! I think the Spanish have done a good job so far tactically and may test the Dutch defence in a way it hasn’t been tested so far this World Cup. This is a reference to what I will be aiming to do this afternoon. I have Dutchand German friends just round […]<\/p>\n

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