{"id":2264,"date":"2010-06-02T07:12:26","date_gmt":"2010-06-02T06:12:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.betangel.com\/blog_wp\/?p=2264"},"modified":"2010-06-01T20:37:29","modified_gmt":"2010-06-01T19:37:29","slug":"tantalising-finale","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/2010\/06\/02\/tantalising-finale\/","title":{"rendered":"Tantalising finale"},"content":{"rendered":"

With the impressive Soderling brushing aside Federer in the French Open, we are now set up for a tantalising finale. Will we see a Soderling vs Nadal final? With Soderling having produced a shock last year by knocking out Nadal it looks a tempting prospect.<\/p>\n

Nadal is only 1.40’s to win the entire tournament and that looks a little short to me, even given his next match which he should complete easily. I haven’t seen much of Nadal this tournament so I can’t speak with authority on that.<\/p>\n

One interesting point is that if you look at his next match he is 1.08 to win. That seems pratically a whitewash but the curious thing about this is that this represents ‘only’ a 10% gap between the two players. In others words Nadal has a 10% better chance of winning a point on server than his opponent. Extrapolate this out to a game and on his serve Nadal should win 90% of his service games. One set under his belt and he will be trading around 1.04, if he opponent manages to squeak the first set 1.27.<\/p>\n

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An unlikely image in a few weeks time<\/p><\/div>\n

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With the impressive Soderling brushing aside Federer in the French Open, we are now set up for a tantalising finale. Will we see a Soderling vs Nadal final? With Soderling having produced a shock last year by knocking out Nadal it looks a tempting prospect. Nadal is only 1.40’s to win the entire tournament and […]<\/p>\n

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