{"id":2177,"date":"2010-05-08T17:41:25","date_gmt":"2010-05-08T16:41:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.betangel.com\/blog_wp\/?p=2177"},"modified":"2010-05-08T17:41:38","modified_gmt":"2010-05-08T16:41:38","slug":"would-you-back-the-draw-at-1-28","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/2010\/05\/08\/would-you-back-the-draw-at-1-28\/","title":{"rendered":"Would you back the draw at 1.30?"},"content":{"rendered":"

If a football match was near the end, perhaps ten or fifteen minutes or so, 1.28 may represent value. But before the match has started, no way! Mathematically speaking it’s highly improbable for the draw to be priced at 80% certainty in a fair match. However these strange odds seem to occur often at the end of the Italian football season. Not all of them play out as the odds intend but it’s certainly very strange to keep seeing such massive anomalies. We have another one for Sunday, make of it what you will.<\/p>\n

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If a football match was near the end, perhaps ten or fifteen minutes or so, 1.28 may represent value. But before the match has started, no way! Mathematically speaking it’s highly improbable for the draw to be priced at 80% certainty in a fair match. However these strange odds seem to occur often at the […]<\/p>\n

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