{"id":1998,"date":"2010-03-09T14:50:51","date_gmt":"2010-03-09T14:50:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.betangel.com\/blog_wp\/?p=1998"},"modified":"2010-03-09T20:16:00","modified_gmt":"2010-03-09T20:16:00","slug":"return-of-the-hulk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/2010\/03\/09\/return-of-the-hulk\/","title":{"rendered":"Return of the hulk"},"content":{"rendered":"

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I like this stage of the champions league. Something has to happen for a team to go through.<\/p>\n

Arsenal are priced to beat Porto but there are many permutations available which mean that both sides have a big incentive to score. The market has been pretty accurate as a reflection of that. It is pricing in just under three goals with nearly a goal advantage to Arsenal. Usually you would expect these to be tight contests, but an early goal would create a significant incentive for another goal hence the pricing.<\/p>\n

Arsenal have not turned around a first leg deficit in Europe since November 1 1978 but do have the advantage of the away goal. Wenger confirmed the importance of the away goal in a recent interview. “\u201cHaving the away goal is massive,\u201d he said. \u201cWhen you don\u2019t have it you think that if we concede we are nearly dead.” On the flip side Porto don’t have a great record at the Emirates.<\/p>\n

Porto have been patchy since the first leg. They thrashed second-place Braga 5-1 but then lost to Sporting Lisbon 3-0 and only salvaged 2-2 draw at lowly Olhanense thanks to an injury time goal. Should be a good game, Arsenal can’t afford to sit back and Porto need that away goal. My biggest ever win on champions league match came courtesy of Porto at Man Utd, so I’ll have above average interest in the game.<\/p>\n

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I like this stage of the champions league. Something has to happen for a team to go through. Arsenal are priced to beat Porto but there are many permutations available which mean that both sides have a big incentive to score. The market has been pretty accurate as a reflection of that. It is pricing […]<\/p>\n

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