Wimbledon is the home of mighty servers, with alternate big servers booming the ball past their opponent. But what effect does it have? Some, it appears.<\/p>\n
Over the last couple of years, I\u2019ve been busy collecting data on a range of Tennis matches from the top level of how a match played, in games and sets, right down to individual points.<\/p>\n
I\u2019ve been carefully examining how one point affects another and spotted what seemed to be a bias on serving aces at Wimbledon. A quick scout around confirms that others have spotted the same bias too.<\/p>\n
Men vs Women<\/strong><\/p>\n Basically, in the men\u2019s single’s an ace is worth around 1.04 points. It seems that when a male player hits an ace, his confidence gets a shot in the arm and he is more likely to win the next point. An ace is significant, especially when\u00a0struck at key points. The ladies also see a benefit as well but, \u00a0lacking testosterone, it turns out that is only worth 1.01 points.<\/p>\n Both sound quite small, but even tiny variations can add up to huge variances in the final result. Especially from a trading perspective. See my previous post on this.<\/p>\n With reference to Murray, he is an ‘ace’ returner. So his ability to return well should nullify a lot of his opponents firepower.\u00a0So, as always, you need to examine both sides of the coin.<\/p>\n But overall, an ace is actually worth more than a point.<\/p>\n![](\"https:\/\/image.jeuxvideo.com\/images-sm\/pc\/f\/u\/full-ace-tennis-simulator-pc-1328631164-019.jpg\")
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