{"id":1254,"date":"2009-08-28T12:00:11","date_gmt":"2009-08-28T12:00:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.betangel.com\/blog_wp\/?p=1254"},"modified":"2009-09-28T13:24:05","modified_gmt":"2009-09-28T13:24:05","slug":"barcelona-vs-shaktar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.betfairtradingblog.com\/blog_wp\/2009\/08\/28\/barcelona-vs-shaktar\/","title":{"rendered":"Barcelona vs Shaktar"},"content":{"rendered":"

My models suggest a price of around 5.50 for the draw.\u00a0 Currently it is trading at 5.2 to back so this suggests, for once, there is value in laying the draw here. Even if I use a pessimistic view I wouldn’t shorten the price to less than 5.35. That said there isn’t a great deal to play for in this match.<\/p>\n

Most of these assumptions revolve around the price of Barca. I would price them around 1.36 versus the 1.42 on offer, they look slightly too long at this price, Shaktar are too short at around 9’s. This market feels pretty loose to me at the moment.<\/p>\n

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My models suggest a price of around 5.50 for the draw.\u00a0 Currently it is trading at 5.2 to back so this suggests, for once, there is value in laying the draw here. Even if I use a pessimistic view I wouldn’t shorten the price to less than 5.35. That said there isn’t a great deal […]<\/p>\n

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